When Will Ray William Johnson Pass Nigahiga As Most Subscribed On Youtube?

I don't think there is any personal animosity between Ray and Ryan and don't want to promote any ill feelings between the two. I've never asked one of them about the other (I don't know either personally) and I haven't seen any comment, good, bad or indifferent, made by either one about the other guy's numbers either. Both of their channels have their good and bad points, as well as fans who love everything they do. No doubt there are hundreds of thousands subscribed to both guys because they put out interesting content.

All I'm saying is that there's nothing wrong with a little friendly competition. I don't think they will get into a pissing contest or anything (we used to have those at our family reunions. Grandma would always win, but that's a story for another time). I'm sure they are probably looking at each other's number of subscribers, but they're probably more worried about what they are going to post next week rather than worrying about every bump the other gets as far as subscribers.

Here's the numbers.

This is the number of subscribers each has today (November 14th, 2010):
2,850,649 nigahiga
2,260,115 RayWilliamJohnson

590,534 is the difference in subscribers right now. Last month Ray once again received massive numbers of new subscribers, adding 157K, while Ryan had the 2nd most of anyone on Youtube with 82K. Both are crazy numbers for new people subbing to a channel as it takes other mere mortals years to generate their subscriber base to that number. The actual difference is that Ray got 74,290 more than Ryan. And he's doing that month, month out. That's why he is gaining on Ryan.

If you go back a year to November 2009, Ryan had 1,626,743 subscribers (and was in 1st place overall) and Ray was way back at a still extremely respectable 32nd place on the Top 100 with 335,072 subscribers. As a sidenote, the channel in the 100th spot today, has 351K subs, which shows how much Youtube is bursting at the seams. The site is still experiencing massive growth as seen by the recent announcement of Youtube having one billion accounts. Ryan averaged about 101,000 new subscribers each month over this last year while Ray's channel has had 160,000.

Anyone who works with numbers will tell you one of the 1st rules is that "past performance is no indication of future results." They can only be used as a guide.

Right now, if Ray William Johnson and Ryan Higa continue getting the same number of subscribers each month, Ray will pass Ryan in June 2011.